ezstandalone.cmd.push(function() { ezstandalone.showAds(102); }); [Weather](/articles/weather)# 2025 Hurricane Season: NOAA Forecasts Above-Normal Activity Jun 02, 2025 [ Twitter ](https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=2025%20Hurricane%20Season%3A%20NOAA%20Forecasts%20Above-Normal%20Activity&url=https%3A%2F%2Fboattest.com%2Farticle%2F2025-hurricane-season-noaa-forecasts-above-normal-activity.md&hashtags=boattest&via=&related=&in-reply-to=)[ WhatsApp ](whatsapp://send?text=Check%20out%20this%20page%20-%20%20https%3A%2F%2Fboattest.com%2Farticle%2F2025-hurricane-season-noaa-forecasts-above-normal-activity.md)[ Share on facebook ](https://www.facebook.com/dialog/feed?app_id=966242223397117&name=2025%20Hurricane%20Season%3A%20NOAA%20Forecasts%20Above-Normal%20Activity&link=https%3A%2F%2Fboattest.com%2Farticle%2F2025-hurricane-season-noaa-forecasts-above-normal-activity.md&caption=&description=&picture=&source=&ref=&display=popup)[ Email ](mailto:?subject=Share%20this%20article&body=Check%20out%20this%20page%20%222025%20Hurricane%20Season%3A%20NOAA%20Forecasts%20Above-Normal%20Activity%22%20-%20https%3A%2F%2Fboattest.com%2Farticle%2F2025-hurricane-season-noaa-forecasts-above-normal-activity%0D%0A) ## Warmer Waters Fueling Storms **Above-average Atlantic Ocean temperatures** are setting the stage for increased hurricane activity. These warmer waters provide more energy, essentially acting as fuel to supercharge developing storms. ![Satelite Imagery of a HUrricane](/sites/default/files/inline-images/Hurricane.jpg)Image of Hurricane Milton from NOAA's GOES-16 satellite on Oct. 8, 2024. (Image credit: NOAA)The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, running from June 1 to November 30, has a **60% chance of being above-normal**, according to NOAA. Forecasters anticipate **13 to 19 named storms**, with **6 to 10 becoming hurricanes**, and **3 to 5 potentially reaching major hurricane strength**. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick highlights NOAA's advanced models and tracking systems, stating, "we have never been more prepared for hurricane season." Acting NOAA Administrator Laura Grimm underscores the far-reaching impacts, reminding us that "hurricanes can reach far beyond coastal communities," making early warnings crucial. --- ## Factors Driving the 2025 Hurricane Season Forecast Several key elements are contributing to NOAA's prediction of an **above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season**. This includes **ENSO-neutral conditions**, **warmer-than-average ocean temperatures**, and **weak wind shear** forecasts. Increased activity from the **West African Monsoon**, a primary starting point for many Atlantic hurricanes, also plays a significant role. All these factors collectively favor **tropical storm formation** and intensification. The Atlantic Basin continues its **high-activity era**, characterized by significant **ocean heat content** and **reduced trade winds**. Higher heat content provides more energy, essentially fueling **storm development**, while weaker winds allow storms to organize and strengthen more easily. A potential northward shift of the West African monsoon could also generate tropical waves that "seed" some of the strongest and longest-lived Atlantic storms. --- ## Enhanced Hurricane Preparedness & Forecasting for 2025 "In my 30 years at the National Weather Service, we've never had more advanced models and warning systems in place to monitor the weather," states **NOAA's National Weather Service Director Ken Graham**. He emphasizes that "this outlook is a call to action: **be prepared**. Take proactive steps now to make a plan and gather supplies to ensure you're ready before a storm threatens." For the 2025 hurricane season, NOAA is rolling out **improved hurricane analysis and forecasts**. Key advancements include an upgrade to their **Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System**, aiming for another **5% improvement in tracking and intensity forecasts**. This means more **accurate hurricane watches and warnings** for coastal and inland communities. NOAA's **National Hurricane Center (NHC)** and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center will now issue **tropical cyclone advisory products up to 72 hours** before storm surge or tropical-storm-force winds impact land. This provides communities with crucial extra time for **hurricane preparation**. Additionally, the **Global Tropical Hazards Outlook** from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, which offers advance notice of potential **tropical cyclone risks**, has been extended from two weeks to **three weeks**, further enhancing **disaster preparedness** efforts. ![2025 Named Storms Names](/sites/default/files/inline-images/Hurricane%20Names.jpg)The alphabetical list of 2025 Atlantic hurricane names as chosen by the World Meteorological Organization. Find a text version of this list at [hurricanes.gov/aboutnames.shtml#atl](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml#atl) (Image credit: NOAA NWS)### ### **Enhanced communication products for this season** - [Spanish language text products](https://www.weather.gov/translate/) for the Tropical Weather Outlook, Public Advisories, the Tropical Cyclone Discussion, the Tropical Cyclone Update and Key Messages. - An [experimental version of the forecast cone graphic](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutcone.shtml) - Depiction of inland tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings in effect for the continental U.S. - New - Graphic will highlight areas where hurricane watches and tropical storm warnings are in effect, simultaneously. - Rip current risk map when at least one active tropical system is present. ### **New tools for this year** - [NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Services](https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/) (NESDIS), [Office of Marine and Aviation Operations](https://www.omao.noaa.gov/) & [NOAA Research](https://research.noaa.gov/noaa-researchers-to-accelerate-hurricane-forecast-improvements/), - New, experimental scanning radar system called ROARS on NOAA’s P-3 hurricane hunter research aircraft. - Will scan under the plane to collect data on waves and wind structure. - [Probabilistic Precipitation Portal ](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/) - User-friendly access to see the forecast for rain and flash flooding up to three days in advance.